一句话:提出在开发环境中在线交互式调试贝叶斯推断的方法与工具,显著降低调试时间与难度。
概率编程允许用户以程序形式编写贝叶斯模型并自动执行后验推断,使贝叶斯方法更容易被多领域从业者使用。然而,识别和修复推断中的问题非常困难,通常耗时且需要深厚专业知识。本文提出一种在线、交互式调试贝叶斯推断的新方法,首先讨论贝叶斯推断调试框架应满足的关键需求,然后实现一个在开发环境内直接满足这些需求的新工具。作者通过一项包含18名有经验参与者的用户研究进行评估,结果表明该方法能显著减少推断调试任务所需的时间和难度。
Probabilistic programming is a rapidly developing programming paradigm which enables the formulation of Bayesian models as programs and the automation of posterior inference. It facilitates the development of models and conducting Bayesian inference, which makes these techniques available to practitioners from multiple fields. Nevertheless, probabilistic programming is notoriously difficult as identifying and repairing issues with inference requires a lot of time and deep knowledge. Through this work, we introduce a novel approach to debugging Bayesian inference that reduces time and required knowledge significantly. We discuss several requirements a Bayesian inference debugging framework has to fulfill, and propose a new tool that meets these key requirements directly within the development environment. We evaluate our results in a study with 18 experienced participants and show that our approach to online and interactive debugging of Bayesian inference significantly reduces time and difficulty on inference debugging tasks.