一句话:调查ICSE实验论文中的统计错误,发现约30%存在多种统计问题。
论文关注软件工程(SE)实验中统计方法误用问题。作者先梳理实验学科常见统计错误,再调查ICSE发表的实验论文,评估高质量SE出版中是否也存在同类错误。结果显示,ICSE实验中同样出现缺失统计假设、缺失样本量计算、未检验统计检验假设、未校正多重比较等问题,约30%的受评论文包含多种错误;在实验仅作为验证章节的研究论文中错误率更高。作者将原因归结为研究者统计训练不足和探索性研究过多,并建议加强统计培训、在SE出版中实施质量评估与报告指南。
Background: Statistical concepts and techniques are often applied incorrectly, even in mature disciplines such as medicine or psychology. Surprisingly, there are very few works that study statistical problems in software engineering (SE). Aim: Assess the existence of statistical errors in SE experiments. Method: Compile the most common statistical errors in experimental disciplines. Survey experiments published in ICSE to assess whether errors occur in high quality SE publications. Results: The same errors as identified in others disciplines were found in ICSE experiments, where 30% of the reviewed papers included several error types such as: a) missing statistical hypotheses, b) missing sample size calculation, c) failure to assess statistical test assumptions, and d) uncorrected multiple testing. This rather large error rate is greater for research papers where experiments are confined to the validation section. The origin of the errors can be traced back to: a) researchers not having sufficient statistical training, and, b) a profusion of exploratory research. Conclusions: This paper provides preliminary evidence that SE research suffers from the same statistical problems as other experimental disciplines. However, the SE community appears to be unaware of any shortcomings in its experiments, whereas other disciplines work hard to avoid these threats. Further research is necessary to find the underlying causes and set up corrective measures, but there are some potentially effective actions and are a priori easy to implement: a) improve the statistical training of SE researchers, and b) enforce quality assessment and reporting guidelines in SE publications.
DOI 原文 ·
@inproceedings{paperbot4399,
title = {Statistical errors in software engineering experiments},
author = {Rolando P. Reyes and Oscar Dieste and Efraín R. Fonseca and Natalia Juristo},
booktitle = {ICSE},
year = {2018},
doi = {10.1145/3180155.3180161}
}