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P2 XAI tools in the public sector: a case study on predicting combined sewer overflows

公共部门中的 XAI 工具:合流制下水道溢流预测案例研究
FSE Proceedings of the 29th ACM Joint Meeting on European Software Engineering Conference and Symposium on the Foundations of Software Engineering2021匹配度 1/10 · 该论文是XAI在市政污水溢流预测中的领域应用案例,虽涉及工业落地,但与用户关注的PL与AI交叉、静态分析、LLM/Agent、浮点程序分析或贝叶斯程序分析均无直接关系。引用 32 inbox
Nicholas Maltbie, Nan Niu, Matthew Van Doren, Reese Johnson
crossref: 2026-09-12

AI 速览

一句话:在市政污水处理真实案例中评估三种先进 XAI 工具,从预测精度与解释质量两方面考察其可用性。

本文关注可解释人工智能(XAI)工具在公共部门真实场景中的有效性,针对市政污水处理组织的合流制下水道溢流(CSO)预测问题展开案例研究。作者将三种先进 XAI 工具应用于深度学习预测模型,并采用数据驱动调查,结合利益相关者访谈的定性信息与定量指标,评估工具的预测准确性,以及所生成解释的简洁性、可靠性和洞察力。结果表明,这些 XAI 工具在多大程度上满足实际需求存在差异;同时,领域专家能够从复杂解释中获得与既有预期不同的新洞见。该工作为在公共部门部署和评价 XAI 工具提供了经验证据。

问题
深度学习模型的黑箱特性使其在公共部门 CSO 预测中的应用难以被理解和信任,现有 XAI 工具在真实场景中的有效性尚不明确。
方法
以市政污水处理组织的 CSO 预测为真实案例,应用三种先进 XAI 工具,并通过数据驱动调查,结合利益相关者访谈与定量指标进行评估。
评估
从预测准确性以及解释的简洁性、可靠性和洞察力等维度评估工具;结果显示不同工具满足需求的程度各异,领域专家可从复杂解释中获得新洞见。
原文摘要(Abstract)

Artificial intelligence and deep learning are becoming increasingly prevalent in contemporary software solutions. Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) tools attempt to address the black box nature of the deep learning models and make them more understandable to humans. In this work, we apply three state-of-the-art XAI tools in a real-world case study. Our study focuses on predicting combined sewer overflow events for a municipal wastewater treatment organization. Through a data driven inquiry, we collect both qualitative information via stakeholder interviews and quantitative measures. These help us assess the predictive accuracy of the XAI tools, as well as the simplicity, soundness, and insightfulness of the produced explanations. Our results not only show the varying degrees that the XAI tools meet the requirements, but also highlight that domain experts can draw new insights from complex explanations that may differ from their previous expectations.

链接与引用

DOI 原文 ·

BibTeX
@inproceedings{paperbot6358,
  title = {XAI tools in the public sector: a case study on predicting combined sewer overflows},
  author = {Nicholas Maltbie and Nan Niu and Matthew Van Doren and Reese Johnson},
  booktitle = {FSE},
  year = {2021},
  doi = {10.1145/3468264.3468547}
}