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P2 Effective low capacity status prediction for cloud systems

面向云系统的有效低容量状态预测
FSE Proceedings of the 29th ACM Joint Meeting on European Software Engineering Conference and Symposium on the Foundations of Software Engineering2021匹配度 1/10 · 该论文研究云系统低容量状态预测与容量规划,属于分布式系统/运维预测方向,与用户的 PL→AI、AI→PL、浮点程序分析、贝叶斯程序分析及 LLM/Agent 交叉方向均无明显关联。引用 2 inbox
Hang Dong, Si Qin, Yong Xu, Bo Qiao, Shandan Zhou, Xian Yang, Chuan Luo, Pu Zhao, Qingwei Lin, Hongyu Zhang, Abulikemu Abuduweili, Sanjay Ramanujan, Karthikeyan Subramanian, Andrew Zhou, Saravanakumar Rajmohan, Dongmei Zhang, Thomas Moscibroda
crossref: 2026-09-12

AI 速览

一句话:提出从低容量状态角度主动预测云系统资源分配失败水平的方法,以改善容量规划与服务可用性。

云系统中准确的容量规划对提升服务可用性至关重要。传统方法仅预测“可用资源何时耗尽”,但受客户需求碎片化和平台分配约束影响,效果不佳。本文提出一种新的预测方法,从低容量状态(LCS)角度主动预测资源分配失败的水平。该方法联合利用来自不同数据源的时间序列数据和静态数据,从而在复杂动态的云环境中进行准确的 LCS 预测,并据此改善云系统服务可用性。作者使用从大规模公有云平台收集的真实数据集进行评估,结果验证了所提方法的有效性。

问题
传统容量规划仅预测资源何时耗尽,难以应对客户需求碎片化与平台分配约束;需要更有效地预测资源分配失败的水平。
方法
联合考虑不同来源的时间序列与静态数据,从低容量状态角度主动预测资源分配失败水平。
评估
在大规模公有云平台收集的真实数据集上评估,结果验证方法有效性。
原文摘要(Abstract)

In cloud systems, an accurate capacity planning is very important for cloud provider to improve service availability. Traditional methods simply predicting "when the available resources is exhausted" are not effective due to customer demand fragmentation and platform allocation constraints. In this paper, we propose a novel prediction approach which proactively predicts the level of resource allocation failures from the perspective of low capacity status. By jointly considering the data from different sources in both time series form and static form, the proposed approach can make accurate LCS predictions in a complex and dynamic cloud environment, and thereby improve the service availability of cloud systems. The proposed approach is evaluated by real-world datasets collected from a large scale public cloud platform, and the results confirm its effectiveness.

链接与引用

DOI 原文 ·

BibTeX
@inproceedings{paperbot6453,
  title = {Effective low capacity status prediction for cloud systems},
  author = {Hang Dong and Si Qin and Yong Xu and Bo Qiao and Shandan Zhou and Xian Yang and Chuan Luo and Pu Zhao and Qingwei Lin and Hongyu Zhang and Abulikemu Abuduweili and Sanjay Ramanujan and Karthikeyan Subramanian and Andrew Zhou and Saravanakumar Rajmohan and Dongmei Zhang and Thomas Moscibroda},
  booktitle = {FSE},
  year = {2021},
  doi = {10.1145/3468264.3473917}
}